Acta Structuralica

international journal for structuralist research

Book | Chapter

186027

Akaike's theorem and bayesian methodology

I. A. Kieseppä

pp. 117-137

Abstract

Elementary statistics provides us with a simple and generally accepted answer to the question which element of a statistical model for the interconnection between a dependent variable and a number of independent variables should be viewed as the optimal one. Such a statistical model M is, basically, a disjunction of mutually exclusive hypotheses each of which gives a probability distribution for the value of the dependent variable when the values of the independent variables are known, and the standard procedure for choosing from these hypotheses the optimal one is to choose the hypothesis which has the maximal likelihood relative to the existing evidence. The question how the statistical model itself should be chosen is much more controversial, however. Statisticians have proposed a variety of model selection criteria for making choices between such models, but there is no general agreement concerning the question which of these should be used.

Publication details

Published in:

Rojszczak Artur, Cachro Jacek, Kurczewski Gabriel (2003) Philosophical dimensions of logic and science: selected contributed papers from the 11th international congress of logic, methodology, and philosophy of science, Kraków, 1999. Dordrecht, Springer.

Pages: 117-137

DOI: 10.1007/978-94-017-2612-2_10

Full citation:

Kieseppä I. A. (2003) „Akaike's theorem and bayesian methodology“, In: A. Rojszczak, J. Cachro & G. Kurczewski (eds.), Philosophical dimensions of logic and science, Dordrecht, Springer, 117–137.